Tag: Vision 2040

Six Months of War: What It Has Cost Gulf Government Budgets

The Strait of Hormuz closure broke the usual link between high oil prices and full Gulf treasuries. Six months later, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait are running deficits that outpaced their own projections, sovereign wealth funds have redirected capital toward domestic defense, and Oman’s ports have become the region’s only reliable trade route. Here is what the first two quarters actually cost, country by country.

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Which Gulf Industries Are Diverging?

Non-oil sectors across the GCC are growing faster than oil-linked industries, and the gap is widening. This piece breaks down which verticals, from FinTech to green hydrogen, are pulling in capital, and which segments face margin pressure as government budgets concentrate on primary national priorities.

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AI Governance in the Gulf: Budgets Shape the Rules

National budgets, not just policy goals, determine how AI regulation takes shape across the Gulf. Saudi Arabia and the UAE fund sovereign oversight systems and dedicated regulators, setting the pace for the region. Oman and Bahrain manage tighter fiscal constraints and rely on cloud-first, cost-efficient governance instead. This divide raises compliance costs for SMEs and local developers and creates fragmented rules across borders. The article breaks down each country’s approach and gives concrete recommendations for executives and regulators navigating the gap.

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Omanization in a Downturn: How Oman Turned Nationalization Compliance Into a Financial Decision for Private Employers

In 2026, Omanization compliance is no longer an administrative target. Ministerial Decision 602/2025 has made a company’s national hiring ratio a direct variable in its work permit costs — discounting fees by 30 percent for compliant firms and doubling them for non-compliant ones. This article explains the full fee structure, the OMR 100 million fine waiver, and what both mean for foreign investors operating in Oman.

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The Unlikely Star of Oman’s Diversification: How Farmers and Fishermen Outperformed Industry

In 2025, Oman’s fastest-growing non-oil sector was not technology, energy, or manufacturing. It was agriculture and fisheries. New GDP data reveals how modern logistics, processing, and SME integration have turned food production into one of the country’s most reliable engines of economic growth, challenging long-held assumptions about diversification priorities.

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The Productivity Paradox in Oman’s SME Economy

Oman’s SME sector employs more than three quarters of the private workforce, yet contributes only a fraction of total economic output. New data reveals a widening productivity gap that challenges long-standing assumptions about job creation, growth, and private sector development. As policymakers confront this imbalance, the focus must shift from counting firms to improving output per worker.

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